Posts Tagged ‘Rusia’

GLSDB se intoarce

GLSDB – Sursa: SAAB

Administratia americana a decis sa reinceapa livrarile de GLSDB pentru Ucraina, pentru a compensa intr-o anumita masura stocurile reduse de ATACMS.

Stirea e de luna trecuta, dar a fost oarecum trecuta cu vederea si e mult mai importanta decat pare la prima vedere.

Se stie ca – dupa cum zicea Pravda – GLSDB a intampinat unele probleme la prima incercare de introducere in serviciul ucrainian, probleme cauzate in special de bruiajul rusesc asupra semnalului GPS de care depindea ghidarea SDB.
Evident, GLSDB nu a fost singurul sistem afectat, HIMARS-ul “vanilie” a intampinat aceleasi probleme, fiind brusc mult mai putin eficient decat la introducerea in dotarea ucrainienilor, dar si AASM Hammer-ul francez. Sistemele INS au compensat intr-o oarecare masura degradarea GPS dar nu au putut face minuni.

Rezultatul a fost retragerea GLSDB din Ucraina si americanii s-au intors la planseta. Stirea de mai sus ne spune ca tocmai au revenit pe teren cu altceva, ceva ce are sanse sa reziste bruiajului rusesc. Proba finala va fi facuta in teren dar testele par sa fie un succes.
Modificarile facute noii variante a GLSDB nu au fost comunicate public dar exista niste ipoteze de lucru si niste semnale (pun intended).

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Guest Post: There is a new sheriff in town

By Caudillo:

Odata cu schimbarea presedintelui USA s-a schimbat si viziunea americana asupra razboiului din Ucraina, declaratia Secretarului de Stat  Rubio fiind elocventa :

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio denounced Moscow’s aggression in Ukraine but said it was “dishonest” to claim Kyiv was capable of destroying Russia on the battlefield and returning to the pre-2014 state of affairs, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in an interview published on Jan. 30.

The U.S. official acknowledged that Russian President Vladimir Putin carried out  “atrocities” and “horrible things” as part of his invasion of Ukraine but voiced doubts about Kyiv’s prospects for a complete military victory.

“But what the dishonesty that has existed is that we somehow led people to believe that Ukraine would be able, not just to defeat Russia, but destroy (Putin), push him all the way back to what the world looked like in 2012 or 2014 before the Russians took Crimea,” Rubio said on the Megyn Kelly Show.

Echoing these sentiments, Trump’s secretary of state said that the U.S. has been “fund(ing) a stalemate” in a war that “set (Ukraine) back 100 years” and called for a swift resolution.

“The energy grid is being wiped out. Someone’s going to have to pay for all this reconstruction. And how many Ukrainians have left Ukraine (and are) living in other countries now? They may never return,” Rubio said.

Russia has carried out a sustained missile and drone campaign against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure throughout the full-scale war, leading to blackouts and power deficits. Over 6 million Ukrainians have fled the country after the start of the invasion.

Si cred ca s-au terminat aberatiile alea ca Ucraina va mai recupera vreodata Crimeea.

Cum Trump are un stil foarte direct si spune ce gandeste, a clarificat si cum va actiona USA in viitor in Ucraina :

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A face rahatul praf

Sursa: BBC

Dex: a fi complet ineficient.

Ecourile vizitei lui Zelenski la Washington nu se vor stinge prea curand iar consecintele abia au inceput sa apara, incepand cu inghetarea ajutorului militar american pentru Ucraina si continuand chiar cu discutii despre o posibila iesire a SUA din NATO.
Cine a avut dreptate, cine a gresit?

Scurta recapitulare: scopul vizitei a fost semnarea unui acord pentru exploatarea unor zacaminte minerale din Ucraina, contract vazut de Washington ca o compensare pentru sumele cheltuite in sustinerea razboiului din Ucraina. In paralel, se purtau discutii legate de initiativa de pace pe care americanii o promoveaza insistent ambelor parti.
Intalnirea a decurs relativ normal pana in momentul in care Zelenski a pus sub semnul intrebarii intregul efort depus de americani pentru a-i atrage pe rusi la masa negocierilor, sugerand ca este imposibil de negociat cu ei, aducand drept argument numeroasele incalcari ale acordurilor trecute de care se fac vinovati rusii.

Indiferent de opinia fiecaruia legata de sansele obtinerii unui acord de pace durabil, realitatea e ca americanii au investit mult efort diplomatic in acest proces, fiind pe deplin constienti ca unii pasi ii vor costa probabil in relatiile lor cu Europa, cum ar fi intalnirea din KSA cu reprezentantii Rusiei fara participarea Ucrainei sau a europenilor, sau votul recent din cadrul ONU.
Vor fi costuri si pe plan intern, unde o parte semnificativa a Partidului Republican se opune unei apropieri de Rusia. Actiunile respective nu ar fi fost facute daca administratia americana nu ar crede ca exista cel putin o sansa de a da rezultate.

Ucrainienii au fost consultati si opiniilor lor au fost transmise partii americane. Judecand dupa violenta raspunsului lui Trump & Vance, chestiunile au fost deja discutate pe larg in privat, partile neajungand inca la un numitor comun insa asta ar fi trebuit sa ramana in spatele usilor inchise sau macar comunicat prin media intr-un mod cat de cat diplomatic.

Sa te duci sub pretextul semnarii unui acord si sa incerci sa “urechezi” gazdele intalnirii, in public, e o dovada de lipsa de respect. Iar daca gazdele sint si principalii tai sponsorii, e sinucidere curata.

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Guest Post: Draghi Report

By Caudillo:

In 9 septembrie 2024 apare Raportul Draghi, “The future of European competitiveness”

Multe lucruri interesante, voi cita doar o parte din el :

Gas retail and wholesale prices are currently between three to five times the prices in the US, while historically, prices in the EU have been two to three times higher than those in the US. Electricity retail prices – specifically those for industrial sectors – are currently two to three times those in the US and China. Historically, retail electricity prices in the EU have been up to 80% higher than those in the US while moving around the same level as in China.

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Guest Post: Drone COMOTI

By Caudillo:

Pe site-ul COMOTI se gasesc niste drone la care lucreaza COMOTI.

Sa le luam pe rand:

UAV Transcumat

UAV-ul Transcumat este o drona dezvoltata pe un proiect de cercetare care are ca scop cresterea vitezei de inaintare a unei drone de tip multirotor quadcopter. Cu ajutorul proiectarii, modelarii 3D si a simularilor numerice s-a ajuns la solutia constructiv functionala de integrare a unor aripi vectorizate prin care drona beneficiaza de portanta creata de acestea.

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Guest Post: Arme, munitii si CNC-uri

By Caudillo:

In 6 septembrie 2024 US DOD a publicat niste date foarte interesante despre productia de armament si munitii americane si despre ajutorul militar dat Ucrainei .

Ce gasim in acest Fact sheet :

  • The United States has invested $5.3 billion to expand domestic production capacity of the following munitions or subcomponents (NOTE: entries reflect increases from 2022 to current production rates):
    • 155mm Projectiles: 14,400 per month to 40,000 per month (178% increase)
    • 155mm Propelling Charge: 14,494 per month to 18,000 per month (24% increase)
    • GMLRS: 833 per month to 1,167 per month (40% increase)
    • Javelin: 175 per month to 200 per month (14% increase)
    • AIM-9X: 116 per month to 137 per month (18% increase)
    • PAC-3 MSE: 21 per month to 42 per month (100% increase)
    • HIMARS: 5 per month to 8 per month (60% increase)
    • M777 Tubes: 11 per month to 18 per month (64% increase)
Sursa: defense.gov

Mai gasim si niste referiri la Romania :

  • Sites in Germany, Spain, Hungary, South Africa, and Australia plan to increase production up to 700,000 artillery shells and up to 10,000 tons of gunpowder per year by 2025; this includes a new gunpowder factory in Romania as part of a project developed with the European Commission and a new artillery ammunition facility in Germany.
  • Germany, the Netherlands, Romania, and Spain will co-produce up to 1,000 Patriot GEM-T missiles in Germany.
Sursa: defense.gov
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Doar la primul tur?

EU Cyber Rapid Response Team (CRRT) concludes deployment in support of the Republic of Moldova’s cybersecurity

On 20th October 2024, the multinational EU Member States’ Cyber Rapid Respone Team (CRRT) has finished its second mission in support of Moldova (and third since 2022) during the first round of presidential election and the referendum on anchoring EU accession in the constitution. The deployment follows a Request for Support from the Moldovan Information Technology and Cyber Security Service (STISC).

This was the largest CRRT mission to Moldova so far, conducted with two different teams covering a distinct range of tasks.

CRRT experts from 8 participating Member States (Belgium, the Netherlands, Croatia, Romania, Poland, Austria, Latvia and Lithuania) were deployed to Chisinau.

After familiarising with the IT infrastructure, the teams, together with Moldovan counterparts, conducted vulnerability assessments (including hardware assessments and penetration testing) of different governmental services, and monitored the cyber security situation during the electoral process.

This support demonstrates the EU’s unwavering commitment to strengthen Moldova’s resilience, in particular on its path towards the European Union. It also reflects our collective effort under the Permanent Structured Cooperation in defence, PESCO, to build a more secure and resilient Europe, ensuring no country stands alone in the face of cyber threats.

The EU Cyber Rapid Response Teams remain committed to building up cyber resilience of partners and is open for a close cooperation in carrying out preventive measures as well as helping to respond to possible cyber incidents.

Sursa: crrts.eu

Doua gloante de argint

Sursa: NATO

Vestile de pe frontul din Donetsk nu sint grozave, conflictul evoluand spre un razboi de uzura in care Rusia are un avantaj clar. Ucrainienii asteapta fie epuizarea fortelor ruse si eventuala ocazie a unui contra-atac, fie “rasputita” si refacerea liniilor de aparare.

Problema e ca anul viitor situatia nu se poate schimba in mod substantial, decat poate in mai rau pentru ucrainieni: capacitatea lor de bombardament strategic, singura sansa reala de a infrange Rusia, este puternic limitata de furnizorii occidentali iar de cealalta parte, rusii par sa incerce sa atraga rezerve inclusiv din Coreea de Nord.
Daca la asta se adauga si posibilitatea ca occidentalii sa faca presiuni pentru incheierea rapida a razboiului, mai ales in cazul din ce in ce mai probabil in care fostul POTUS va deveni si viitorul POTUS, e clar ca ucrainienii au nevoie de o schimbare de plan.
Planul lor pentru pace a fost deja prezentat insa nu a starnit un entuziasm masiv: toata lumea intelege ca, in lipsa unor monede de schimb, posibilitatea ca Ucraina sa recupereze ceva pe calea tratativelor este redusa iar garantarea securitatii Ucrainei pe viitor e imposibila atat timp cat statalitatea sa e intolerabila pentru rusi.
E nevoie deci de niste atuuri.

Primul glont pe teava: NATO or else

President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Oct. 17 that he told Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in their meeting in September that Ukraine needs to be part of NATO, or it would pursue nuclear capabilities to protect itself.
Zelensky was speaking from Brussels, where he presented his victory plan to EU leaders.
“Either Ukraine will have nuclear weapons, which will serve as protection, or it must be part of some kind of alliance. Apart from NATO, we do not know of such an effective alliance,” Zelensky said that he had told Trump.
“I believe Trump heard me and said that it was a fair argument,” he added.

Sursa: kyivindependent.com
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Guest Post: The blood of Ukrainians

By Caudillo:

Dupa anuntul donarii de Patriot catre Ucraina au aparut niste idei sucare, una din ele e ca trebuie sa fim multumiti ca aceasta donatie nu ne costa decat 60 milioane parai, asa ca sunt necesare niste clarificari, respectiv sa stabilim cine ii ajuta e rusi si cine profita de pe urma acestui ajutor, momentan discut despre sustinerea militara a rusilor.

Pentru asta sursele ucrainiene ne sunt de mare ajutor, problema e cunoscuta de ceva timp. Ukrainska Pravda 28 august 2023, despre dronele Lancet :

Ekonomichna Pravda (EP) obtained a report on the Russian production of Lancets from the Ukrainian President’s Office, jointly compiled by Ukrainian special services and research institutes. It also mentions equipment from the Swiss company Essemtec, Japanese company JSW and Chinese company Jiangsu Huawei Machine. Most of the equipment reached Russia after Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February 2022.

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Guest Post: Drones of the future

By Caudillo:

Fara a avea pretentia unei prezentari complete a evolutiei dronelor, din articolele scrise de Forbes se pot trage niste concluzii despre posibilitatile dronelor.                         

Avem un articol in care prezinta noutatile in privinta dronelor: Jam-Proof Fiber Optic Drone Testing In Ukraine

Se descrie drona HCX a firmei germane HIGHCAT:

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